Monday, May 6, 2013

Buffett To Hedge Fund Manager: 'You Didn't Convince Me To Sell The Stock'


Weeks ago Warren Buffett called on investors far and wide to be the "credentialed bear" at his Berkshire Hathaway's massive annual shareholder blowout in Omaha.
Ultimately, Palm Beach hedge fund manager Doug Kass was selected, and as "credentialed" bear he got to ask the first question in front of thousands of onlookers today. That's probably tough.
After Berkshire announced earnings yesterday and blew past analyst earnings by $307 a share, it was probably even more tough.
All that said, Kass opened with a valid question, and not one that isn't unheard of when people whisper criticism of Buffett's legendary firm — they ask if in recent years his acquisitions have become too large. 
From The Street, where Kass is a contributor:
Kass said, you were "hunting gazelles before, but now you are hunting elephants." He points out that Burlington Northern and Lubrizol have been made at high historical valuations. Richer prices paid will lead to lower returns on acquisitions than in the past, driving slower growth for the company. Does this mean Berkshire is becoming more like a sleepy index than a stock?
Buffett recognized the argument and said basically that he's willing to pay for true value.
"We have paid up for good business. There are companies we should have bought 30 years ago that looked expensive then but have done very well. We have now realized that paying up for an extraordinary business is not a mistake." They are trying to avoid missing good opportunities like the ones they passed on previously.
Warren also got the final word of the exchange as the conversation ended.
"You haven't convinced me to sell the stock yet, Doug."


Read more: businessinsider.com

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Warren Buffett Says He’s Not a Buyer of Gold After Price Slump


Billionaire investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., comments on the investment appeal of gold. He spoke to reporters in Omaha,Nebraska, on May 2.

Gold rallied 4.9 percent in the past two weeks after entering a bear market April 12. Futures in New York are still down 13 percent this year to $1,464.20 an ounce.

On whether he would buy gold after recent declines:

“No. Gold’s not reproduced or anything since I wrote about it a year or two ago. It just sits there, and you hope somebody pays you more for it.

‘‘If gold went to $1,000 I wouldn’t be a buyer. If it went to $800, I wouldn’t be a buyer. It’s never interested me. If you go back to 1965, Berkshire was at $15 and gold was at $35, so you could’ve bought two shares of Berkshire for an ounce of gold, a little more than two shares. And so far, two shares of Berkshire’s been better.”

Thursday, March 21, 2013

Buffetted: Why the world’s greatest investor changed his strategy


Warren Buffett’s latest annual letter to shareholders demonstrates once again that the world’s greatest investor marches to his own drummer.

The letter, published Friday, shows that Mr. Buffett’s flagship company,Berkshire Hathaway Inc., continues to hold a highly concentrated portfolio. About 64 per cent of its holdings are in only five stocks.

Mr. Buffett has held a concentrated portfolio throughout his illustrious career, making a mockery of the modern portfolio theory taught in universities around the world, which holds that wide diversification among hundreds of stocks is desirable.

But while Mr. Buffett has always believed in the benefits of holding highly concentrated portfolios, his opinion about what kind of stocks to invest in has evolved over the years. Investors who want to emulate the Oracle of Omaha should ponder the lessons of his career.

Mr. Buffett’s current policy is to buy great companies at reasonable prices. His portfolio is focused on market leaders, such as Coca-Cola, American Express and Wells Fargo, that he has held for years. Once he invests in a great company, he says he wouldn’t care whether the markets were to close for the next three years. He buys and holds as if he were the owner; he never buys and sells as a trader.

Mr. Buffett’s recent deal to buy H.J. Heinz Co. is a perfect fit for his philosophy. In many ways, the ketchup maker is like Coca-Cola. Both have intergenerational customer captivity – an extremely rare thing – forged out of habits built up while consumers are children. For these stocks the best strategy is to buy and hold – you never sell, as their intrinsic value is always one step ahead of the stock price.

Monday, March 4, 2013

Buffett Still Buying Stocks, Sees 'Good Value'


Warren Buffett still sees "good value" in stocks, even as the Dow Jones Industrial Average approaches an all-time high.
On CNBC's Squawk Box, Buffett said Berkshire Hathaway is still buying stocks, even though prices have increased.
"Anything I bought at $80 I don't like as well at $100. But if you're asking me if stocks are cheaper than other forms of investment, in my view the answer is yes. We're buying stocks now. But not because we expect them to go up. We're buying them because we think we're getting good value for them."
He said stocks are not "as cheap as they were four years ago" but "you get more for your money" compared to other investments. He added, "The dumbest investment, in my view, is a long-term government bond."
Buffett revealed that a potential acquisition had been "mentioned" to him and he will be exploring the idea, no deal is imminent. "That's always a low probability. Whether it's a five percent or ten percent, who knows? But I get excited when I hear about possibilities." Asked what sector the company is in, he replied with a laugh that it is "in business."
Buffett praised Berkshire's new portfolio managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, and announced publicly for the first time that they'll soon be getting an additional $1 billion to work with. He joked they are making his decisions "look bad" by comparison. The new money will increase the size of their portfolios to $6 billion from $5 billion.
Buffett said it's "quite unlikely" he'll hire another portfolio manager, in part because he's so happy with Combs and Weschler. "We hit the jackpot with these two."
Buffett isn't too worried that the automatic government spending cuts known as the sequester will slow down the U.S. economy too much.
"We're continuing to see a slow recovery," he said. "It hasn't taken off, but it hasn't stopped either."
Buffett said that while the sequester will reduce the government's stimulus of the economy by cutting back on the deficit the remaining spending is still providing the economy a lot of "juice." 
"It's not galloping at all, but we are making progress bit by bit. Everybody would love to see it faster. But it's not going into reverse and I do not think the sequester will cause it to go into reverse."

Warren Buffett's Advice: How to Get 'Fair Shake' on Wall Street

During his live appearance on CNBC's "Squawk Box" today, Berkshire Hathaway Chairman Warren Buffett had some valuable advice for individual investors on how to make sure they are getting a "fair shake" on Wall Street.



BECKY QUICK: Do you think, and I ask this because there have been so many scandals that people think about, Libor, and they think about a lot of the deals behind the scenes that have been dragged out. A lot of Main Street investors think they can't get a fair shake on Wall Street. Can they?
WARREN BUFFETT: Well, they pay a lot of expenses in many cases. They don't need to. They should buy a low-cost index fund and they can participate in the growth of America over the next 20 or 30 or 40 years and they'll do fine. But if they're paying high fees to achieve that same result, they're going to get hurt. They should look very carefully at costs. But they should hold a diversified group of really high-class companies, which you can do by buying an index fund. And then they should forget it. They should just pretend the stock market closes for five years and they shouldn't look at prices every day...
The people selling you securities are often selling you things they make a lot of money in. The first question you should ask of anybody selling you securities is, 'How are you getting paid and how much are you getting paid?' The truth is you can own index funds with a very, very low cost and you will end up getting the same performance that you get from people who charge you a lot more.
So, you always want to look at costs. When somebody comes around to you and says, 'I'm going to sell you this wonderful security but there's this big chunk in it for me," you get suspicious.
As they say, when a person with experience meets a person with money, the person with the money gets the experience and the person with the experience gets the money.
From cnbc.com